Thursday, December 22, 2011

2012 predictions

Election 2012
With no obviously-better-choice-than-the-incumbent Republican candidate, I predict Obama will get re-elected!

Tech
Android and iPhone will continue to battle with no winner needed. They can co-exist (like Apple and Microsoft coexist in desktop for decades). In the phone market, I am afraid Microsoft phones will be like Palm Pre. Microsoft Windows and Windows desktops will completely dead if people can do everything with their Android/IPads. But that day isn't here yet! The pads need a file system (like c:\mystuff) and an Office Suite at least. Otherwise pads will just be a portable browser and that can just run little apps.

World Events
Now that's hard to predict. Conflicts will continue and I just hope US is not going into another war. All these people worrying about China dominating militarily will prove to be like the ancient Chinese story of a man scaring of the sky collapse onto him. I hope to see: the new young leader of North Korea will learn a thing or two about its neighbors and at least reduce the famine in that country.

Higgs Boson
I do NOT predict the Higgs Boson be found in 2012 despite huge expensive machines. It does not seem to be easy (otherwise people found it long ago). All that to explain a fairly basic question, "why do things have mass".

2012 is not the end
I predict there will be 2013, despite the Mayan doomsday prophecy.

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